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Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise

Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Development and Internal Validation of a Field-Based Triage Tool for Lumbopelvic-Hip Dysfunction in Collegiate Athletes

Huang, H.-C.; Chou, P.-H.; Lee, K.-C.; Chu, I.-H.; Huang, I.-J.; Liang, J.-M.; Wu, W.-L.

2026-04-26 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351566 medRxiv
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This cross-sectional derivation and internal validation study aimed to develop and internally validate a clinical triage scoring system (CTSS) for field-based identification of collegiate athletes requiring priority intervention for lumbopelvic-hip (LPH) dysfunction. A total of 864 collegiate athletes (mean age 21.3 {+/-} 2.4 years; 80.8% male) were recruited from 10 universities. Participants underwent standardized assessments including demographic characteristics, clinical history, and LPH functional testing. Using an expert-adjudicated binary reference standard (priority intervention vs self-management), a multivariable logistic regression model was developed to derive the weighted CTSS. Model performance was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA), and internal validation was performed using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. Of the 864 participants, 463 athletes (53.6%) were classified as requiring priority intervention. The final 14-factor CTSS comprised 12 positive-weight predictors, such as localized LPH pain, muscle weakness, and higher body mass index, and 2 negative-weight predictors, positive Lasegues sign and hamstring weakness, which functioned served as safety-related modifiers. The model demonstrated acceptable discrimination (AUROC = 0.851, 95% CI: 0.824-0.876), with minimal optimism (optimism-corrected AUROC = 0.842) and excellent calibration (calibration slope = 1.000; calibration intercept = 0.000). A total score of [≥]9 was identified as the optimal threshold, yielding a sensitivity of 84.4% and specificity of 71.8%. DCA showed greater net benefit than treat-all and treat-none strategies across clinically relevant threshold probabilities (20%-50%), with a net benefit of 0.319 at a 50% threshold probability. The CTSS may provide a pragmatic field-based triage tool to support early identification of athletes who may require priority intervention, although external validation is needed before broader implementation in sports medicine settings.

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Micro-Doppler Radar Identifies Movement Asymmetries After Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction

Onks, C. A.; Zeng, C.; Creath, R.; Simone, B. D.; Nyland, J. E.; Murphy, T. E.; Kishel, L. A.; Ardat, B. A.; Venezia, V. A.; Wiggins, A. M.; Shaffer, B. R.; Narayanan, R. M.

2026-04-21 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350397 medRxiv
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BackgroundPatients who have undergone Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction (ACLR) have a 6-24% chance of either re-tearing or having subsequent knee surgery. To date there have been no practical validated risk prediction models that can be easily implemented into clinical workflow for re-injury risk. Micro-Doppler radar (MDR) provides a promising solution. ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive ability of MDR to identify persons with a previous ACLR relative to an age and sex matched healthy control. MethodsACLR patients (n=81) and controls (n=100) performed drop box jump, sit to stand (STS), and walking trials as MDR signatures were collected. A 1D Convolutional Neural Network was developed to evaluate each activity individually followed by the development of a fusion model validation using all three activities. ResultsThe STS model individually achieved the highest overall accuracy of 82.3%, with a sensitivity of 71.6% and specificity of 91.0%. The fusion model using all activities achieved a peak overall accuracy to detect ACLR of 86.2%, 80.3% sensitivity, and 91% specificity. ConclusionsCurrently, there is no clinically validated, efficient approach to objectively evaluate human motion at the point of care. When coupled with machine learning, MDR accurately differentiates ACLR from control groups by identifying complex biomechanical asymmetries, with classification performance comparable to or exceeding that of motion capture. Future research is needed to determine if MDR can be used in conjunction with risk prediction modeling. Key pointsMicro-Doppler radar provides a promising new solution to identify important human motion asymmetries in clinical settings. Here we evaluated a group of patients who have a history of Anterior Cruciate Ligament reconstruction versus a control group. Simple movements performed in the presence of the micro-Doppler radar system were used to identify the 2 groups with accuracy comparable or superior to motion capture systems.

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Meal Timing Patterns and Associations with Fat Mass in Adolescents

Decker, J. E.; Morales, K. H.; Chen, P.-W.; Master, L.; Kwon, M.; Jansen, E. C.; Zemel, B. S.; Mitchell, J. A.

2026-04-23 nutrition 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351498 medRxiv
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Background: The timing of energy intake could be important in the development of obesity. However, most observational evidence stems from adults, anthropometric defined obesity outcomes, single meal timing phenotyping, and traditional regression modeling. Objective: We aimed to describe meal timing patterns in adolescents and determine if they associated with fat mass by modeling the median and all other percentiles of the frequency distribution. Methods: We analyzed data from the Sleep and Growth Study 2 (S-Grow2, N=286, 12-13y). Participants completed 3-day 24-hour dietary recalls and time stamped eating occasions were used to define 8 meal timing traits, with aide from self-reported wake and bed timing. Principal component analysis (PCA) identified multi-dimensional meal timing patterns. Fat mass index (FMI) was estimated using dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Quantile regression assessed if there were associations between meal timing traits and FMI across the entire FMI frequency distribution. Results: The typical first and last eating occasions were 8:00am (40 minutes after waking) and 8:00pm (2.7 hours before sleep), respectively, thus the eating period typically lasted 11.5 hours per day. The typical eating period midpoint was 2:15pm, and the timing when 50% of energy intake was consumed typically occurred at 3:15pm. PCA revealed three meal timing patterns: 1) Delayed Start, Condensed Eating Period (43% of variance; shorter eating period and delayed timing of first eating); 2) Late, Sleep Proximal Eating (30% of variance; later timing of last eating and extended eating period), and 3) Later Energy Intake (10% of variance; delayed energy intake midpoint). Higher scores for the Delayed Start, Condensed Eating Period pattern associated with higher body mass index and FMI at the upper tails of their distributions. Conclusions: Distinct multidimensional meal timing patterns emerged in early adolescence, with the delayed start, condensed eating period pattern potentially associated with higher adiposity.

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Demographic Factors Moderate the Effectiveness of Obesity Prevention Interventions: A Secondary Analysis of College Intervention Trials

Winn, C.; Groene, L.; Colby, S.; Ademu, L.; Olfert, M. D.; Byrd-Bredbenner, C.; Mathews, A.; Stabile Morrell, J.; Brenes, P.; Brown, O.; Barr-Porter, M.; Greene, G.; Dhillon, J.

2026-04-27 nutrition 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351238 medRxiv
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Background: College-attending young adults frequently experience declines in diet quality, physical activity, and psychological well-being during the transition to independent living, contributing to weight gain during the first year of college. Although multicomponent lifestyle interventions have been developed to address these behaviors, the responsiveness to such programs could differ across demographic factors associated with health behaviors, such as sex, race, and ethnicity. Hence, this secondary analysis of large-scale college health trials evaluated whether the effectiveness of such interventions differed by these demographic factors. Methods: Data were combined from two multi-site randomized controlled trials: Young Adults Eating and Active for Health (YEAH) trial and the Get FRUVED trial. Both interventions used theory-based approaches to promote healthy weight management through improvements in diet quality, physical activity, and stress management. Baseline-adjusted linear regression models evaluated the effects of group (intervention, control) and its interactions with sex, race (White, Black, Other), or Hispanic ethnicity. Models were adjusted for baseline outcome values, baseline BMI, study (YEAH vs. FRUVED), and state of data collection. Results: Intervention participants reported higher fruit and vegetable intake, lower processed meat intake, and longer sleep duration compared with controls. However, there was significant heterogeneity in these dietary outcomes by ethnicity, race, and sex. Non-Hispanic participants in the intervention group had higher fruit and vegetable intake compared to controls (p < 0.05). And, within the intervention group, Hispanic females had lower bacon/sausage intake than Hispanic males and non-Hispanic females (p < 0.05). With respect to race, Black participants reported higher total processed meat intake than White and Other race participants (p <0.05). These demographic factors did not moderate the intervention's impact on physical activity, sleep duration, and perceived stress. Overall, the intervention appeared to be the least effective for Hispanic males who exhibited higher body weight and waist circumference compared with Hispanic females and non-Hispanic males (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Multicomponent lifestyle interventions can improve selected dietary outcomes among college students, but effectiveness may differ across demographic subgroups. Culturally and sex-tailored strategies that consider the intersecting influences of sex, race, and ethnicity may enhance intervention effectiveness during the transition to college.

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Running Style and Stability During Uphill Running Are Largely Preserved with Increasing Shoe Sole Thickness

Kettner, C.; Stetter, B. J.; Stein, T.

2026-04-21 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.04.16.719110 medRxiv
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Advanced footwear technology (AFT) shoes incorporate increased sole thickness and compliant midsole materials that may alter running biomechanics. While these effects have been widely studied during level running, little is known about how sole thickness influences running style and stability during uphill running. This study examined the effects of two AFT shoes differing in sole thickness (35 mm-AFT35; 50 mm-AFT50) and a traditional control shoe (27 mm-CON27) on running style and stability during uphill running. Seventeen experienced male runners performed treadmill running at a 10% incline at 6.5 and 10 km/h in three shoe conditions. Running style was assessed using duty factor, normalized step frequency, center-of-mass oscillation, vertical and leg stiffness, and lower-limb joint kinematics. Running stability was evaluated using local dynamic stability via the maximum Lyapunov exponent and detrended fluctuation analysis of stride time. Duty factor and normalized step frequency did not differ between shoes. However, AFT shoes showed greater center-of-mass oscillation (p = 0.004), lower vertical stiffness (p = 0.022) compared to CON27. Joint kinematics revealed significant shoe effects at the ankle (p = 0.001), particularly increased dorsiflexion and eversion in AFT conditions. Running stability showed only minor changes. Local dynamic stability differed at the trunk (p = 0.027), with reduced stability in AFT50 compared with CON27 (p = 0.006), while global stability remained unchanged. No shoe x speed interactions were observed for any variable. Overall, uphill running style and stability remained largely preserved across shoe conditions, suggesting that sole thickness alone had limited influence.

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Generic versus personalized foot-ground contact models for predictive simulations of walking: Is personalization worth the effort?

Williams, S. T.; Li, G.; Fregly, B. J.

2026-04-21 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.04.16.719049 medRxiv
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PurposeQuantification of walking function, including joint motions, ground reactions, and joint loads, outside the lab is a growing research area. Because only joint motions can currently be measured outside the lab, researchers are utilizing tracking optimizations of walking to estimate associated ground reactions and inverse dynamic joint loads. However, foot-ground contact models used in such optimizations have been generic rather than personalized, which may limit the accuracy of estimated ground reactions and joint loads. This study compares the predictive capabilities of generic versus personalized foot-ground contact models. MethodsGeneric and personalized foot-ground contact models were evaluated in calibration and tracking optimizations performed using experimental walking data collected from three subjects in varying states of health. Foot-only calibration optimizations evaluated how well both models could reproduce experimental ground reaction and foot motion data while tracking both types of data simultaneously, while whole-body tracking optimizations evaluated how well both models could reproduce experimental ground reactions, joint motion, and joint load data while tracking only experimental joint motion data and achieving dynamic consistency. ResultsFor all three subjects and both types of optimizations, personalized foot-ground contact models reproduced experimental ground reaction, joint motion, and joint load data more accurately than generic foot-ground contact models. ConclusionPersonalized foot-ground contact models can improve the accuracy with which ground reactions and joint loads can be estimated via tracking optimizations of walking using only experimental motion data as inputs. Personalized models require little time and effort to calibrate using freely available software tools and should improve the accuracy of predictive simulations of walking as well.

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Sleep physiology in late pregnancy: A video-based, multi-night, in-home, level 3 sleep apnea study of pregnant participants and their bed partners

Kember, A. J.; Ritchie, L.; Zia, H.; Elangainesan, P.; Gilad, N.; Warland, J.; Taati, B.; Dolatabadi, E.; Hobson, S.

2026-04-25 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351131 medRxiv
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We completed a video-based, four-night, in-home, level 3 sleep apnea study of healthy, low-risk pregnant participants and their bed partners in order to characterize sleep physiology in the third trimester of pregnancy. Demographic, anthropometric, and baseline sleep health characteristics were recorded, and the NightOwl home sleep apnea test device was used to measure sleep breathing, posture, and architecture parameters. Symptoms of restless legs syndrome were elicited in the exit interview. Forty-one pregnant participants and 36 bed partners completed the study. Bed partners had a significantly higher prevalence of sleep apnea than their pregnant co-sleepers (31% vs. 5.9%). Bed partners also had more severe sleep apnea than their pregnant co-sleepers, and this persisted on an adjusted analysis for baseline differences in factors known to increase risk of sleep apnea. In pregnant participants, increasing gestational age was found to be protective against mild respiratory events but not more severe events. While the correlation between STOP-Bang score and measures of sleep apnea severity was weak, an affirmative response to the witnessed apneas item on the STOP-Bang questionnaire was a strong predictor of more severe sleep apnea for all participants. Smoking history also increased sleep apnea risk. Pregnant participants had lower sleep efficiency and longer self-reported sleep onset latency. Restless legs syndrome was experienced by 39.5% of the pregnant participants but no bed partners. From a sleep breathing perspective, people with healthy, low-risk pregnancies have better sleep than their bed partners despite lower sleep efficiency and higher rates of restless legs syndrome.

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Hemodynamic phenotypes linked to high-altitude subclinical organ damage

Chao, H.; Bao, G.; Wang, X.; Tang, B.; Wang, Q.; Hu, Y.; Avolio, A. P.; Zuo, J.

2026-04-21 physiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.719322 medRxiv
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BackgroundChronic exposure to high-altitude hypoxia imposes sustained cardiovascular stress, yet hemodynamic adaptation among healthy high-altitude dwellers is heterogeneous and remains poorly characterized. This study aimed to identify distinct hemodynamic phenotypes in a healthy high-altitude population using unsupervised machine learning and to evaluate their association with multi-system subclinical target organ damage. MethodsThis cross-sectional study enrolled 694 healthy adults permanently residing at [&ge;]3300 m on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Unsupervised K-means clustering was performed on nine hemodynamic variables, including peripheral and central blood pressures, augmentation index (AIx), pulse pressure amplification ratio (pPP/cPP), and systolic pressure amplification (pSBP-cSBP). Differences across phenotypes in carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), left ventricular mass index (LVMI), and pulse wave velocity (PWV) were assessed using one-way ANOVA with Bonferroni-corrected post-hoc tests. ResultsThree distinct hemodynamic phenotypes were successfully identified. The C2 (Balanced Adaptation) phenotype (n = 245) demonstrated the most favorable hemodynamic profile, characterized by the lowest blood pressure and augmentation index (AIx) values, along with the highest peripheral-to-central pulse pressure ratio (pPP/cPP). The C1 (Vascular Stress) phenotype (n = 267) presented with normal peripheral systolic blood pressure (125.9 {+/-} 11.3 mmHg) but exhibited markedly elevated wave reflection indices, including the highest heart rate-adjusted augmentation index (AIx@HR75: 31.9 {+/-} 9.7%) and the lowest pPP/cPP ratio (1.29 {+/-} 0.08). The C3 (High-Load Decompensation) phenotype (n = 182) displayed significantly elevated blood pressures and the greatest overall hemodynamic load. Regarding target organ damage, a clear gradient was observed across the three phenotypes. The C3 phenotype showed the highest carotid intima-media thickness (IMT: 1.162 {+/-} 0.23 mm) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI: 69.18 {+/-} 40.73 g/m{superscript 2}). Conversely, the C2 phenotype exhibited the highest estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR: 97.38 {+/-} 16.38 mL/min/1.73m{superscript 2}) and the lowest IMT (0.994 {+/-} 0.26 mm). The C1 phenotype consistently displayed intermediate values for all organ damage indicators. After Bonferroni correction, all pairwise comparisons for LVMI and pulse wave velocity (PWV) reached statistical significance (all P < 0.05). ConclusionsHealthy high-altitude individuals manifest three distinct hemodynamic phenotypes arrayed along a cardiovascular risk continuum. The novel Vascular Stress (C1) phenotype represents a "masked" high-risk state characterized by normal peripheral blood pressure but elevated arterial stiffness and wave reflection, challenging sole reliance on brachial pressure for risk assessment. This phenotype-based stratification provides a framework for precision prevention and early intervention in high-altitude populations.

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Association between chronotype and dual-task gait cost across distinct cognitive domains in healthy young adults

Dalbah, J.; Kim, M.; Al-Sharman, A. J. A.

2026-04-21 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.04.16.719112 medRxiv
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Chronotype reflects individual circadian preference for timing of sleep, wakefulness, and peak performance and has been linked to variability in prefrontal cognitive function across the day. Whether chronotype independently relates to dual-task gait cost (DTC) and whether this relationship differs by cognitive task domain is unclear. Sixty-nine healthy young adults (37 female; mean age 21.3 years) completed the Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire (MEQ). Spatiotemporal gait parameters were recorded with three-dimensional motion capture during single-task walking and three dual-task conditions: backward word spelling (5LWB; phonological), serial subtraction by seven (SS7; arithmetic), and reverse month recitation (RMR; sequential). DTC was calculated for eight gait parameters. Condition differences were assessed with nonparametric tests and post-hoc comparisons. Multiple linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, BMI, and baseline gait velocity, tested the independent association between MEQ score and mean velocity DTC; exploratory Spearman correlations examined other parameters. SS7 produced the largest mean velocity DTC (-12.76%), significantly greater than 5LWB (-7.95%; p = 0.002) and RMR (-9.57%; p = 0.021). MEQ score independently predicted mean velocity DTC in 5LWB ({beta} = -0.51, p < 0.001, R{superscript 2} = 0.269) and RMR ({beta} = -0.55, p = 0.004, R{superscript 2} = 0.222), indicating greater morningness associated with better gait-speed preservation under cognitive load; the SS7 association was not significant ({beta} = -0.33, p = 0.071). Exploratory correlations showed MEQ-DTC associations across 7/8 parameters in 5LWB, 4/8 in RMR, and 3/8 in SS7. Chronotype is independently associated with dual-task gait cost in a task-domain-specific manner, with stronger effects for phonological and sequential tasks than for arithmetic processing. The SS7 condition yielded the largest interference but weakest chronotype modulation, suggesting arithmetic dual-task disruption may be less sensitive to circadian arousal. Fixed testing time and cross-sectional design warrant within-subject, multi-timepoint studies to confirm chronotype effects separate from time-of-day confounds.

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Diminished sex hormone levels influence the risk of skewed X chromosome inactivation

Roberts, A. L.; Osterdahl, M. F.; Sahoo, A.; Pickles, J.; Franklin-Cheung, C.; Wadge, S.; Mohamoud, N. A.; Morea, A.; Amar, A.; Morris, D. L.; Vyse, T. J.; Steves, C. J.; Small, K. S.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351303 medRxiv
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BackgroundX chromosome inactivation (XCI) is the mechanism which randomly silences one X chromosome to equalise gene expression between 46, XX females and 46, XY males. Though XCI is expected to result in a random pattern of mosaicism across tissues, some females display a significantly unbalanced ratio in immune cells, termed XCI-skew, in which [&ge;]75% of cells have the same X inactivated. XCI-skew is associated with adverse health outcomes and its prevalence increases with age - particularly after midlife - yet the specific risk factors have yet to be identified. The menopausal transition, which is driven by profound shifts in sex hormone levels, has significant impact on chronic disease risk yet the molecular and cellular effects are incompletely understood. We hypothesised that the menopausal transition may impact XCI-skew. MethodsUsing XCI data measured in blood-derived DNA from 1,395 females from the TwinsUK population cohort, along with questionnaires, genetic data, and sex hormone measures, we carried out a cross-sectional study to assess the impact of the menopausal transition and sex hormones on XCI-skew. ResultsWe demonstrate that early menopause (<45yrs) is associated with increased risk of XCI-skew. In subset analyses across those who had a surgically induced or natural menopause, we find the association restricted to those who underwent a surgical menopause. We next identify a low polygenic score (PGS) for testosterone levels is significantly associated with XCI-skew, which we replicate in an independent dataset (n=149), while a PGS for age at natural menopause is not associated. Finally, using longitudinal measures across two time points spanning [~]18 years we show XCI-skew is a stable cellular phenotype that typically increases over time. DiscussionThese data represent the first environmental and genetic risk factors of XCI-skew, both of which implicate endogenous sex hormone levels, particularly testosterone. We propose XCI-skew may have clinical relevance in postmenopausal females.

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Proteomic Insights into Lp(a) Cardiovascular Mechanisms: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Tomasi, J.; Xu, H.; Zhang, L.; Carey, C. E.; Schoenberger, M.; Yates, D. P.; Casas, J.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351299 medRxiv
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Background: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a known risk factor for several cardiovascular-related diseases established from multiple genetic and observational studies. However, the underlying mechanisms mediating the effects of Lp(a) levels on cardiovascular disease risk and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) are unclear. The aim of this study was to identify proteins downstream of Lp(a) using mendelian randomization (MR) - a genetic causal inference approach. Methods: A two-sample MR was performed by initially identifying Lp(a) genetic instruments based on data from genome wide association studies (GWAS) of Lp(a) blood concentrations. These instruments were then tested for association with proteins from proteomic pQTL data (Olink from UK Biobank, 2940 proteins and SomaScan from deCODE, 4907 proteins). Results: A total of 521 proteins associated with Lp(a) were identified. Using pathway enrichment analysis, the following MACE-relevant pathways were identified comprising a total of 91 Lp(a) downstream proteins: oxidized phospholipid-related, chemotaxis of immune cells and endothelial cell activation, pro-inflammatory monocyte activation, neutrophil activity, coagulation, and lipid metabolism. Conclusion: The results suggest that the influence of Lp(a) treatments is primarily through modifying inflammation rather than lipid-lowering, thus providing insight into the mechanistic framework which mediates the effects of elevated Lp(a) on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

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Menopause in the All of Us Research Program: A Descriptive Summary of Electronic Health Record and Survey Response across Sociodemographic Characteristics

Staples, J. W.; White, S. L.; Giacalone, A.; Pozdeyev, N.; Sammel, M. D.; Stranger, B. E.; Valencia, C. I.; Santoro, N.; Hendricks, A. E.

2026-04-25 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351129 medRxiv
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Objective. Menopause is a significant physiological transition with implications for health outcomes (e.g., cardiometabolic), yet gaps remain in understanding the menopause transition, including how menopause timing and type influence health outcomes. Large-scale cohort studies in midlife (age~40-60) females, including the All of Us Research Program (AoURP), provide opportunities to study menopause across diverse populations and data modalities. We characterized menopause-related data in AoURP, focusing on age distributions and concordance between EHR diagnosis codes and self-reported survey responses. Methods. We analyzed menopause-related survey, EHR diagnostic code, and genomic data among ~396,000 participants in AoURP with female sex. We summarized menopause data across modalities, overlap between survey, EHR, and genomic data, and age distributions overall and across sociodemographic characteristics. Results. Among ~396,000 females, surveys captured ~193,000 menopause observations, nearly seven times more than structured EHR diagnoses (~28,000), suggesting under- ascertainement in EHR data. Nearly all females (~99%) with an EHR menopause diagnosis also reported menopause in the survey. Approximately 22,000 participants had intersected EHR, survey, and genomic menopause-related data. Survey-based age patterns matched expectations, with participants <40 years predominantly reporting pre-menopausal status and those >60 years predominantly reporting post-menopausal status. A small subset (N{approx}1,700; 4%) (age>70 years) reported no menopause, suggesting response or recall bias. EHR menopause codes were concentrated after age>45 years, with a notable spike at age 65. Modest differences in survey-based menopause age distributions were observed by sociodemographic characteristics (e.g., race, ancestry). Conclusions. These findings inform sampling strategies, power calculations, phenotype definition, and study design for menopause research using AoURP.

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Assessing physiological coherence in stress related predictions of large language models: a surrogate based analysis of the Mistral 3 family using wearable HRV data

Bolpagni, M.; Pozza, M.; Gabrielli, S.

2026-04-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351717 medRxiv
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Chronic psychological stress contributes to allostatic load and is associated with cardiovascular, metabolic, and mental health disorders. Wearable devices enable continuous, noninvasive monitoring of autonomic signals such as heart rate variability (HRV), creating new opportunities for real-time stress assessment. Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly explored as interfaces for interpreting such data, but it remains unclear whether their predictions reflect physiologically meaningful patterns or rely on superficial heuristics. In this study, we assess whether LLM-derived stress predictions are physiologically coherent and how this varies with model scale. Using a longitudinal wearable dataset collected in naturalistic conditions (35 participants; 5,100 five-minute windows with HRV and contextual features), we obtained stress pseudoprobabilities from three models in the Mistral 3 family (675B, 14B, 3B) via zero-shot prompting. To make model behavior interpretable, we trained surrogate models to approximate LLM outputs and analyzed feature-response relationships using SHAP. Our results indicate that surrogate models closely reproduced LLM predictions (R{superscript 2} up to 0.915; Cohen's k up to 0.941), enabling high-fidelity characterization of decision patterns and providing a practical framework for auditing the physiological coherence of LLM-derived predictions. Physiological coherence increased with model scale: the largest model exhibited near complete alignment with established HRV stress responses, together with stable, predominantly monotonic feature effects and a balanced integration of physiological and contextual information. This pattern weakened at smaller scales, with the mid scale model showing partial alignment and the smallest model displaying reduced stability, greater feature concentration, and more irregular, non monotonic relationships. These findings indicate that larger LLMs encode more physiologically consistent representations of stress, whereas smaller models rely on simplified and less stable strategies, and highlight the value of surrogate based analysis as a practical framework for evaluating LLM behavior in biomedical applications and supporting their responsible integration into wearable health analytics.

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On the intra-laboratory replicability of results in animal cognition research, obtained in animals that were not exposed to, or unaffected by, experimental manipulations - Exemplified by spatial learning in pigs (Sus Scrofa Domesticus) across 12 holeboard studies

van der Staay, F. J.; Antonides, A.; Dwulit, A. K.; Fijn, L.; Gieling, E. T.; Grimberg-Henrici, C. G. E.; Meijer, E.; Roelofs, S.; Vernooij, J. C. M.; Witjes, V. L.; Arndt, S. S.

2026-04-22 animal behavior and cognition 10.64898/2026.04.19.718108 medRxiv
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The replicability of experimental results is considered a cornerstone of empirical research. However, the reproducibility of results from groups that have not undergone experimental manipulation -- the standard against which comparisons in an experiment are made -- has been almost entirely neglected in animal research. Our aim is to address this gap by exemplarily determining within-laboratory replicability using research in pigs, an increasingly popular large animal model species. Drawing on data from twelve independent porcine holeboard studies conducted in our laboratory, we examine the replicability of groups that were not subjected to experimental manipulation (typically the control group), eventually including groups on which the experimental treatments had no effect. These analyses were also performed on all eight studies involving the Terra x Finnish Landrace x Duroc pig breed, with all other breeds excluded to increase genetic uniformity. The holeboard is a complex spatial discrimination task in which an animal must learn to find food at four of sixteen possible locations (holes) arranged in a 4 x 4 matrix. The main variables measured are spatial working memory (WM), reference memory (RM) and the inter-visit interval (IVI), which serves as an index of motivation. All studies showed predominantly linear improvements in WM and learning rates across successive trial blocks. IVI showed greater variation across trialblocks, but this did not affect WM and RM learning, which are robust and replicable indices of spatial learning in pigs. Assessing replicability provides relevant information, such as whether behavioural and physiological traits in a model species are stably expressed and robust across studies. Including replicability research and publishing its results can stimulate the development and use of more replicable methods and workflows, thereby increasing scientific rigour. Provided the data are available and accessible, the next step should be to expand replicability studies to include those conducted in different laboratories.

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Comprehensive Exome Sequencing in Swedish Patients with Spontaneous Coronary Artery Dissection

Gunnarsson, C.; Ellegard, R.; Ahsberg, J.; huda, s.; Andersson, J.; Dworeck, C. F.; Glaser, N.; Erlinge, D.; Loghman, H.; Johnston, N.; Mannila, M.; Pagonis, C.; Ravn-Fischer, A.; Rydberg, E.; Welen Schef, K.; Tornvall, P.; Sederholm Lawesson, S.; Swahn, E. E.

2026-04-24 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351535 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is a well-recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome particularly among women without conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Increasing evidence indicates a genetic contribution; however, the underlying genetic architecture of SCAD remains insufficiently understood. Objective The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of rare variants in previously reported SCAD associated genes and to explore the potential presence of novel genetic alterations in well-characterised Swedish patients with SCAD. Methods The study comprised 201 patients enrolled in SweSCAD, a national project examining the clinical characteristics, aetiology, and outcomes of SCAD. All individuals had a confirmed diagnosis based on invasive coronary angiography. Comprehensive exome sequencing was performed to identify rare variants contributing to disease susceptibility. Results Genetic variants that have been associated with SCAD according to current clinical genetics practice for variant reporting were identified in approximately 4 % of patients. In addition, rare potentially relevant variants were detected in almost 60 % of patients in genes associated with vascular integrity and vascular remodelling. Conclusion This study supports SCAD as a genetically complex arteriopathy, driven by rare high?impact variants together with broader polygenic susceptibility. Variants in collagen, vascular extracellular matrix, and oestrogen?responsive pathways provide biologically plausible links to female?predominant disease. Although the diagnostic yield of clearly actionable variants is modest, these findings support broader genomic evaluation beyond overt syndromic presentations and highlight the need for larger integrative genomic and functional studies to refine risk stratification and management.

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Artificial-Intelligence-Enabled Early Malnutrition Risk Assessment Tools for Elderly Trauma Patients in Intensive Care Units

Wei, X.; Xao, X.; Hou, J.; Wang, Q.

2026-04-27 nutrition 10.64898/2026.04.26.26351765 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Accurate assessment of clinical malnutrition using anthropometric and functional indicators could improve the care of elderly trauma patients in intensive care units (ICUs). This study aimed to develop an AI-driven malnutrition assessment toolbox based on a minimal set of clinically feasible indicators. Methods: Multiple machine learning models, including logistic regression, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, decision trees, random forests, XGBoost, and neural-network-based ensemble models, were developed using different indicator configurations from a clinically collected patient dataset. Models were trained using baseline and longitudinal measurements to predict malnutrition risk. SHAP analysis was used to interpret the importance of selected indicators. Results: Baseline (Day 1) data alone did not provide a reliable prediction, whereas longitudinal measurements substantially improved performance. Models based on a minimal indicator set, including bilateral mid-upper arm circumference, calf circumference, and key static variables, outperformed models using the full indicator set. Tree-based methods consistently outperformed linear and distance-based models, with the three-time-point XGBoost achieving the best individual performance. Neural-network-based ensemble models further improved predictive stability. The best overall performance was achieved by the ensemble model using the minimal indicator set from Day 1 and Day 3. SHAP analysis confirmed the importance of the selected indicators. Conclusions: This AI-driven toolbox provides an efficient and clinically feasible approach for early malnutrition assessment in elderly trauma patients in the ICU. Its strong performance with a minimal indicator set supports its potential for integration into clinical workflows and future digital twin systems for intelligent nutritional management.

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Genetic liability to metabolic dysfunction modelled in early adulthood predicts cardiometabolic risk across the life course in Asian populations

Pan, H.; Wang, D.

2026-04-27 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351660 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Cardiometabolic diseases arise from metabolic dysfunction that develops decades before clinical onset. Conventional genetic risk models are typically derived in middle-aged or older populations, where genetic effects are confounded by cumulative environmental exposures, chronic comorbidities, and clinical interventions. Whether the life stage at which genetic liability is modelled influences the biological signal captured by polygenic scores remains unclear, particularly in underrepresented populations. We therefore tested whether genetic liability modelled in early adulthood, a period of relative physiological stability, is associated with cardiometabolic risk across the life course in Asian populations. Methods: We developed a polygenic score for metabolic syndrome, GenMetS, using data from 1,368 Singaporean women aged 18-45 years. The model integrates 15 established polygenic scores for metabolic traits and applies elastic-net penalized regression to optimize variant weights. GenMetS was evaluated in five cohorts comprising 670,952 individuals aged 0-94 years across population-based and disease-enriched settings, including Asian and European ancestry groups. Associations with metabolic traits, cardiometabolic diseases, multimorbidity, and early-life growth patterns were assessed. Results: In Asian populations, GenMetS explained 5.0-12.4% of the variance in metabolic syndrome in adults and 10.3% in children, with negligible performance in European populations (R squared < 0.001). Higher GenMetS was associated with increased odds of cardiometabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and stroke (odds ratios 1.32-1.52 per standard deviation). In UK Biobank participants of Asian ancestry, GenMetS improved discrimination of cardiometabolic multimorbidity beyond age alone. Associations were consistent across sexes. In children, higher GenMetS was associated with obesogenic growth trajectories and increased abdominal adiposity. Conclusions: Genetic liability to metabolic dysfunction modelled in early adulthood captures a stable biological signal associated with metabolic traits, disease risk, and multimorbidity from childhood to adulthood in Asian populations. These findings indicate that the life stage of model derivation shapes the biological signal captured by polygenic scores and support the development of life-stage and ancestry-informed approaches for cardiometabolic risk assessment and prevention.

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Wavelet analysis reveals non-stationary cardiovascular rhythms associated with delirium and deep sedation in ICU patients

Sreekanth, J.; Salgado-Baez, E.; Edel, A.; Gruenewald, E.; Piper, S. K.; Spies, C.; Balzer, F.; Boie, S. D.

2026-04-23 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351455 medRxiv
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Routine ICU data offers valuable insights into daily physiological rhythms. While traditional methods assume these cycles maintain fixed periods and amplitudes, their inherent variability requires dynamic estimation of instantaneous trends. Wavelet transform effectively resolves circadian oscillations, especially for frequently measured vital parameters. We present novel extensions to the Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) power spectral analysis to better detect and segment subtle temporal patterns. Using this approach, we uncover hidden circadian patterns in cardiovascular vitals such as Heart Rate (HR) and Mean Blood Pressure (MBP) measured over five days in a retrospective cohort of 855 ICU patients. By quantifying non-stationary rhythms, we identified diurnal and semi-diurnal oscillations varying in period and power according to delirium and deep sedation. Notably, HR exhibits a clear diurnal and semi-diurnal rhythm when delirium is absent. Overall, our framework supports the CWT as a powerful tool for analyzing complex physiological signals, particularly vital signs. Crucially, our findings suggest that cardiovascular rhythm disruption can be associated with ICU-related delirium and deep sedation.

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Beyond Histology: A Validated CUBIC-Based Workflow for Volumetric Analysis of Follicles and Cortical Vasculature in Human Ovarian Tissue

Pavlidis, D. I.; Fischer, C. E.; Jennings, M. A.; Machlin, J. H.; Jan, V.; Baker, B. M.; Shikanov, A.

2026-04-21 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.04.16.718954 medRxiv
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Research questionCan tissue clearing, combined with volumetric imaging, enable reliable, quantitative three-dimensional analysis of follicles and vasculature in intact human ovarian tissue? DesignA CUBIC-based clearing protocol was adapted for human ovarian medulla and cryopreserved cortex. Tissue from reproductive-aged donors was cleared, fluorescently labeled, and imaged using confocal and light sheet microscopy. Tissue expansion, imaging depth, and vascular morphometrics were quantified and follicle density was compared to conventional histology. ResultsClearing produced optically transparent tissue with a linear expansion factor of 1.2 across cortex and medulla. Imaging depth increased 6.5-11-fold in cortex and 6-8-fold in medulla. Follicle density measurements in immunolabeled cleared cortex were comparable to histology, supporting the validity of volumetric follicle quantification. Light sheet microscopy of lectin-labeled cortex revealed no significant donor-to-donor differences in vascular morphometrics, including mean vessel diameters of 12-14 {micro}m, branch point densities of 632-965 points/mm3, vessel length densities of 117-175 mm/mm3, and volume fractions of 1.9-2.3%. Volumetric imaging further illustrated heterogeneous spatial relationships between follicles and surrounding vessels. ConclusionTissue clearing and volumetric imaging complement routine histology and enable quantitative three-dimensional investigation of follicle-vascular interactions in intact human ovarian tissue, providing a framework for advancing fertility preservation and ovarian tissue transplantation research.

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Racioethnic Disparities in Risk of Cardiometabolic Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Disease among Women Treated for Breast Cancer: The Pathways Heart Study

Yao, S.; Zimbalist, A.; Sheng, H.; Fiorica, P.; Cheng, R.; Medicino, L.; Omilian, A.; Zhu, Q.; Roh, J.; Laurent, C.; Lee, V.; Ergas, I.; Iribarren, C.; Rana, J.; Nguyen-Huynh, M.; Rillamas-Sun, E.; Hershman, D.; Ambrosone, C.; Kushi, L.; Greenlee, H.; Kwan, M.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351612 medRxiv
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Background: Few studies have examined racioethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women after breast cancer treatment, who are at higher risk due to cardiotoxic cancer treatment. Methods: Based on the Pathways Heart Study of women with a history of breast cancer, this analysis examines the association between cardiometabolic risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia) and CVD events with self-reported race and ethnicity, as well as genetic similarity. Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to test race and ethnicity and genetic similarity with prevalent and incident cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD events. Results: Of the 4,071 patients in this analysis, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Asian, and Hispanic women were more likely to have prevalent and incident diabetes than non-Hispanic White (NHW) women. Analysis of genetic similarity revealed results consistent with self-reported race and ethnicity. For CVD risk, NHB women were more likely to develop heart failure and cardiomyopathy than NHW women. In contrast, Hispanic women were at lower risk of any incident CVD, serious CVD, arrhythmia, heart failure or cardiomyopathy, and ischemic heart disease, which was consistent with the associations found with Native American ancestry. Conclusions: This is the largest multi-ethnic study of disparities in CVD health in breast cancer survivors, demonstrating corroborating findings between self-reported race and ethnicity and genetic similarity. The results highlight disparities in cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD among breast cancer survivors that warrant more research and clinical attention in these distinct, high-risk populations.